Key takeaways

  • The current annual inflation rate is 2.4%, still stubbornly above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.
  • Consumers pay more close attention to cumulative inflation, and prices are 23.7% more expensive today than they were before the coronavirus pandemic recession began in February 2020.
  • The Federal Reserve cut interest rates a full percentage point across three consecutive meetings in 2024, but officials are taking a more cautious approach in 2025 as price pressures stay sticky and President Donald Trump’s tariff policies threaten to reignite inflation.

Tariffs are the highest since the Great Depression, yet inflation has now stayed lower than expected for two consecutive months, suggesting that businesses might not have started to pass along those higher costs onto the prices that you see on store shelves.

Eggs, gasoline, airline fares, used and new vehicles, apparel prices and more declined last month, helping to keep inflation tamer than many economists were forecasting. Goods prices, meanwhile, were flat.

Last month, consumer prices rose 0.1 percent, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)’ monthly consumer price index (CPI) report for May. Excluding food and energy, a measure of “core” or “underlying” inflation also rose 0.1 percent.

Still, consumer prices are 23.7 percent more expensive than they were in February 2020, a Bankrate analysis of Bureau of Labor Statistics data shows. That price burst means Americans need about $1,237 to buy the same goods and services that cost $1,000 when the coronavirus-induced recession occurred.

Price hikes could also still be coming down the pipeline, with tariffs higher today than they were at the start of Trump’s second term. The majority of economists (55 percent) expect inflation to stay elevated through 2027, driven by higher import taxes, according to Bankrate’s latest Economic Indicator Survey. Meanwhile, Fed officials have said that uncertainty over how tariffs could impact inflation is the main reason rate cuts are on hold.

Despite April and May’s surprisingly tame results, there is still a specter of increasing costs hanging over the economy. The businesses barely whispering of price hikes in April are now starting to raise their voices.

— Stephen Kates, CFP, Bankrate financial analyst

A little bit of inflation is good for consumers. The economy keeps growing and businesses continue expanding, hiring workers and bumping up their pay along the way. Too much inflation, however, feels akin to taking a pay cut. High inflation has consequences beyond just affordability, complicating saving for emergencies or investing for retirement.

Looking for the latest information on consumer prices? Here’s a round-up of where inflation is improving — and where it’s still remaining stubborn.

Highlights of the latest statistics on inflation

What is the current inflation rate?

Over the past 12 months, the overall annual inflation rate in May hit 2.4 percent, edging up from last month’s 2.3 percent rate, which was the lowest since February 2021, the BLS’ CPI report showed. Excluding food and energy, core” prices rose 2.8 percent from a year ago for the third consecutive month.

Inflation is well below where it peaked in the summer of 2022. Yet, the figures reflect bumpier progress on inflation’s path back to the Fed’s 2 percent target. Between October and January, inflation had been gaining steam.

Prices that are rising the most

Of the nearly 400 items that BLS tracks, almost 7 in 10 items (or 70 percent) increased in price between May 2024 and May 2025. Less than a third (or 31 percent) were cheaper in April than they were a year ago.

According to BLS, these are the prices that increased most over the past year:

Item May 2024-May 2025 increase
Eggs 41.5%
Utility (piped) gas service 15.3%
Subscription and rental of video and video games* 14.3%
Other condiments 13.4%
Instant coffee* 12.4%
Roasted coffee 11.8%
College textbooks* 10%
Uncooked ground beef 9.9%
Uncooked beef roasts 9.5%
Uncooked other beef and veal* 9.3%
*Denotes an item that isn’t seasonally adjusted

Month-over-month price changes, however, can give consumers a more real-time look at the prices that have recently been popping. Lower prices in the same year-ago period, for example, can cause an item to look like it’s gaining speed, when it’s slowing in reality.

Case in point: Back in May 2024, energy prices rose 3.5 percent over the 12-month period, appearing to be gaining speed from April’s 2.5 percent annual increase despite dipping 2 percent over the month. The reason for the discrepancy? May 2023 was a cheaper month for energy costs.

Consumers, however, should take seasonal variations into account. For instance, tax season likely contributed to a jump in tax return preparation services costs in March. BLS doesn’t seasonally adjust all of its items, and year-over-year inflation rates can better smooth out those variations.

According to BLS, these are the prices that increased most over the past month:

Item April 2025-May 2025 increase
Newspapers and magazines* 5.2%
Major appliances 4.3%
Propane, kerosene and firewood 4.1%
Peanut butter* 3.8%
Bananas 3.3%
Frozen fish and seafood 2.9%
Car and truck rentals 2.7%
Canned vegetables 2.6%
Salt and other seasonings and spices 2.4%
Ice cream and related products 2.4%

Why is inflation still hot right now?

Consumers might notice just how much more expensive egg prices are from a year ago and wonder why the overall inflation rate is just 2.4 percent. To put it simply, the Bureau of Labor Statistics assigns weights to each individual good or service it tracks, based on how prevalent it’s considered to be in a consumer’s monthly budget.

Currently, the main contributors to inflation are shelter, insurance and services more broadly.

Over the past year:

  • Shelter has accounted for more than half (57 percent) of the increase in inflation;
  • Food has accounted for 16 percent of inflation; and
  • Car insurance has accounted for 8 percent of inflation.

Excluding food, shelter and energy, inflation would’ve risen just 1.6 percent.

The drivers of inflation have changed dramatically since the initial post-pandemic price burst. When price pressures peaked in June 2022, shelter contributed to just 20 percent of the annual increase in prices. But as consumers emerged from lockdowns with massive pent-up demand at the same time as global supply shortages, energy was responsible for about a third (32 percent) of inflation, while food prices drove 15 percent of inflation. Goods, meanwhile, were driving the majority of price pressures, with commodities accounting for more than half (58 percent) of inflation between June 2021 and 2022.

Supply chains have untangled since the pandemic, helping take the pressure off of goods inflation. However, services such as rent, insurance and even the price of dining out can take months, if not years, to fluctuate — depending on what’s happening with labor costs and consumer spending.

To combat inflation, officials on the Federal Reserve lifted borrowing costs from a rock-bottom level of near-zero percent to a 23-year high of 5.25-5.5 percent. Now, borrowing costs are in a target range of 4.25-4.5 percent.

Post-pandemic inflation: What’s risen the most and what’s gotten cheaper

Of the nearly 400 items BLS tracks, just 25 (or roughly 6 percent) are cheaper today than they were pre-pandemic.

To be sure, prices are expected to rise in the healthiest of economies — though only gradually, at a goalpost of around 2 percent a year.

According to BLS, these are the top 10 items that have jumped the most in price since the pandemic:

Item February 2020-May 2025 increase
Eggs 109.6%
Margarine 57.6%
Motor vehicle repair 56.6%
Motor vehicle insurance 56.3%
Utility (piped) gas service 54.5%
Frozen noncarbonated juices and drinks* 52.5%
Uncooked beef roasts 47.5%
Uncooked other beef and veal* 46.6%
Cigarettes 45.4%
Repair of household items* 45.2%
*Denotes an item that isn’t seasonally adjusted

Meanwhile, the items that have dropped in price the most since the pandemic are primarily goods and electronics — largely thanks to improving supply chains.

Item February 2020-May 2025 decrease
Smartphones* -60%
Telephone hardware, calculators, and other consumer information items -49.3%
Televisions -30.4%
Information technology commodities -26.5%
Education and communication commodities -22.6%
Health insurance* -15.5%
Other video equipment -14.8%
Video and audio products -13.6%
Dishes and flatware -13%
Computer software and accessories* -12.2%

Inflation breakdown by product category

Looking for an easy analysis of how inflation is impacting the key items in your budget? Here’s what Bankrate found.

  • Gasoline prices aren’t rising as rapidly as they once were. Technically, prices are 12 percent cheaper than they were a year ago — after soaring as high as 59.8 percent in June 2022. Even so, prices at the pump cost about 20 percent more than before the pandemic.

    Energy prices, however, tend to be volatile. Prices at the pump have dipped for the past four months, but that’s after rising 1.8 percent in January and 4 percent in December alone.

     

  • Grocery prices (formally known as food at home) rose 2.3 percent from a year ago and are about 27.8 percent more expensive than they were before the pandemic, BLS data indicates. At their peak, grocery prices soared 13.6 percent in August 2022 from a year ago.

    Of the major shopping categories:

    • Meats: up 4 percent over the past year and 32 percent since February 2020
    • Fish and seafood: up 1.2 percent from a year ago and 17.3 percent since the start of the pandemic-induced recession
    • Dairy: up 1.7 percent over the past year and 20.9 percent more expensive since the pandemic
    • Fruits and vegetables: down -0.4 percent over the past year but 17.1 percent more expensive than before the pandemic
    • Sugar and sweets: up 4.1 percent from a year ago and 34.6 percent since the pandemic

    Meanwhile, the price of dining out at a restaurant (formally known as full service meals and snacks) increased 4.2 percent from a year ago, capping off a 30.4 percent increase since the pandemic.

  • Rent has become a key corner of inflation — and one of the costliest categories of a consumer’s budge. Prices, however, may finally be slowing, at least gradually.

    Rent of primary residence rose 0.2 percent between April and May 2025, a clear cooldown from the post-pandemic peak of 0.8 percent. Over the past year, rents have risen 3.8 percent, the lowest since January 2022.

    Even so, Americans who’ve had to sign new leases since the outbreak are feeling the pinch: Rent is up 28.2 percent since the pandemic.

    Real-time measures have showed that rents aren’t rising as quickly as they were at the height of post-pandemic lockdowns, though the sharper slowdown that most economists and Fed officials have been waiting for has taken longer to come to fruition. One reason could be because of lags, even longer than usual for shelter prices as leases and housing agreements take longer to roll over from the previous year. Another could simply be because homes and mortgage rates have stayed pricey, keeping more renters on the sidelines than usual.

  • Inflation hasn’t just made the prices of key household essentials more expensive — but the costs of vacations and travel, too. Airline ticket prices, for example, once soared as much as 43 percent from a year ago in September 2022.

    Those prices are back to following the ebbs and flow of travel season, though consumers might still be experiencing some sticker shock:

    • Airfares: down 7.3 percent from a year ago and now 11.6 percent cheaper than in February 2020
    • Car and truck rental: up 1.3 percent from a year ago, the first increase since January 2023, and now 20.5 percent more expensive since the pandemic
    • Hotels and motels (lodging away from home): down 1.7 percent from last year and 10.4 percent more expensive than before the pandemic

     

  • Owning a car has been especially pricey since the pandemic, from the cost of the car itself and the interest rates that finance it to the repair and insurance costs required for upkeep. Making car inflation hard to escape, the majority of households (roughly 92 percent) owned at least one car in 2022, according to the Census Bureau.

    • Motor vehicle insurance: up 7 percent from a year ago and 56.3 percent since the start of the pandemic in 2020
    • Vehicle repair: up 7.4 percent from a year ago and 56.6 percent since February 2020
    • New vehicles: up 0.4 percent from a year ago but still 20.2 percent more expensive since February 2020
    • Used vehicles: up 1.8 percent since May 2024 and 30.7 percent more expensive.
    • Leased vehicles: down 3.7 percent in May from a year ago but 35.2 percent more expensive since the start of the pandemic

     

The different methods of measuring inflation: PCE versus CPI

Fed policymakers look at the full picture of economic data when setting interest rates. But officially, they prefer a different measure to see whether they’re succeeding at controlling inflation: the Department of Commerce’s personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index.

But that preference has been keeping Fed watchers on their toes. Lately, the PCE index has been indicating slower inflation, with overall prices now half a percentage point above the Fed’s target (2.1 percent as of April 2025, versus 2.3 percent in the same month for CPI). Excluding food and energy, “core” prices in April are up 2.5 percent from a year ago versus 2.8 percent in BLS’ gauge that month.

Those variations have always been afoot. Mainly, they’re because of methodology differences. For starters, PCE takes consumers’ substitutions into account (for example, one family’s decision to buy fish over meat for one month because it’s cheaper).

But another key difference is to blame lately. Both agencies estimate an item’s relative importance differently, with BLS’ gauge giving the most weight to the category of inflation that’s coincidentally been the hottest: shelter.

For Fed officials, the story remains largely the same: Inflation has majorly improved since peaking at a 40-year high back in 2022 but is still stubborn.

Takeaways for consumers

Slowing inflation in 2024 gave the Fed room to cut interest rates and consumers a chance to recover some of the purchasing power that they lost. Even so, prices are still higher today than they would’ve been had the pandemic not occurred, and the Fed remains worried that tariffs could reignite inflation.

  • So long as inflation stays high, so will the borrowing costs you pay: The U.S. central bank’s key benchmark interest rate is still higher than at any point since the Great Recession — keeping borrowing costs elevated on the products consumers pay, from credit cards and auto loans to home equity lines of credit (HELOCs).
  • Comparison shop as much as you can: Consumers know to compare offers from multiple lenders before locking in a loan. Why not the same for the items you buy on a regular basis? Compare prices at multiple retailers, see if any stores offer price match and craft a budget. If a product or ingredient pushes your spending goal over the edge, consider swapping it out for something else.
  • Use the personal finance tools at your disposal: Finding the right credit card that helps you earn rewards on the purchases you were already going to make can be another way to pad up your wallet. Just be sure you’re not carrying a balance. A 20 percent interest rate will never outweigh the cash back.
  • Save for emergencies and find the right account: Historically, investing in the stock market has been the best way to beat inflation over time, but higher rates mean savers can find a market-like return without any of the risk. Deposit rates have already fallen after the Fed’s rate cuts, but returns on high-yielding accounts are still beating inflation. Stash your cash in a high-yield account or add a certificate of deposit (CD) to your portfolio, so you can lock in these elevated yields for the long haul.

See how all items BLS regularly tracks have changed over time

  • Bankrate analyzed 407 items from the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ consumer price index (CPI) to determine how much specific items have increased in price on both a month-over-month basis, year-over-year basis and then on a pre-pandemic basis (defined as February 2020, when the coronavirus pandemic-induced recession was officially determined to have begun). Bankrate then ranked each item from slowest to fastest appreciation, focusing on the top and bottom 10 in each category, in addition to key aspects of Americans’ budgets. When given the choice, Bankrate chose an item’s seasonally adjusted index.

     

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